Computer Rankings from Week 5 / Week 6 Predictions
Now that Estimated Win Percentage is based solely on results from the last four weeks, changes in the ratings are really about the delta between the results from that week we just stopped taking into consideration and the most recent week that essentially replaced it in the formula for the rankings.
One big riser this week was Hamburglers who have had four good weeks in a row after coming out of the gates with a bit of a stinker in week 1 (that EWP no longer considers). They are the new #1 team in the rankings. But the bigger riser was Rednecks who had an even worse week 1 game that we just started ignoring. Rednecks EWP went up 13% this week and the team rose 5 spots in the rankings. The big fall this week was Capo whose rating fell 19% and dropped 4 spots in the rankings. Their one really good effort this year came in week one and they've had two terrible games out of their four since.
Last week was a bad week for the computer -- going 2-4 to run the season record back to .500 at 14-14. Here are this week's predictions with the predicted change a team will win in parentheses. Note that Maleficarum are favored by the computer by less than 0.5%. Perhaps I should have called it a push... but we'll call it for the hammer.
Dynasty @ Lagers (71%)
Capo @ Drow (70%)
Old No. 7 (59%) @ Bronies
Hamburglers (58%) @ Rednecks
Bill @ Mimes (54%)
Maleficarum (50%) @ Maniacs
One big riser this week was Hamburglers who have had four good weeks in a row after coming out of the gates with a bit of a stinker in week 1 (that EWP no longer considers). They are the new #1 team in the rankings. But the bigger riser was Rednecks who had an even worse week 1 game that we just started ignoring. Rednecks EWP went up 13% this week and the team rose 5 spots in the rankings. The big fall this week was Capo whose rating fell 19% and dropped 4 spots in the rankings. Their one really good effort this year came in week one and they've had two terrible games out of their four since.
Last week was a bad week for the computer -- going 2-4 to run the season record back to .500 at 14-14. Here are this week's predictions with the predicted change a team will win in parentheses. Note that Maleficarum are favored by the computer by less than 0.5%. Perhaps I should have called it a push... but we'll call it for the hammer.
Dynasty @ Lagers (71%)
Capo @ Drow (70%)
Old No. 7 (59%) @ Bronies
Hamburglers (58%) @ Rednecks
Bill @ Mimes (54%)
Maleficarum (50%) @ Maniacs
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]
<< Home