Week 9 Rankings

I'm seeing more stratification in my rankings this week and some shake-up at the top as we get a new #1 who looks very familiar and and old favorite continues to climb.

Big Dogs
1. Mimes (up 1)
median EWP = 82%, avg EWP = 77%, variance = 22%, luck = -0.6 wins
Mimes have scored more points every week since their "low point" scoring 70 in week 6.  Powered by the best offense in FLOF over the last 4 weeks and the 2nd best defense.

2. Drow (up 1)
median EWP = 88%, avg EWP = 70%, variance = 40%, luck = -0.3wins
Drow bounced back from their terrible week 9.  The offense has been inconsistent but shown the potential for big scores lately while the defense continues to be one of the best in the league.

3. Malleus (down 2)
median EWP = 81%, avg EWP = 69%, variance = 35%, luck = +0.3 wins
The wheels came off the offense last week.  But acquiring Tom Brady should help right the ship and keep this team from falling any farther.  Ordering these top 3 teams was really an exercise in nit-picking.

Scrappy Dogs
4. Old No. 7 (up 1)
median EWP = 67%, avg EWP = 67%, variance = 11%, luck = -0.2 wins
I'd love to say that this team was going to be hunting the Big Dogs next, but the offense has failed two weeks in a row now and the defense has been propping it up.  Does the offense get healthy or does the defense drop off first?

5. Lagers (down 1)
median EWP = 71%, avg EWP = 61%, variance = 35%, luck = -0.4 wins
I think Lagers are more capable of jumping up in weight class then Old No. 7.  Their offense has been as good as anyone's the last couple of weeks.  Their week 7 fail is keeping their numbers down and their average defense keeping them from greatness.

Just Dogs
6. Rednecks (up 1)
median EWP = 55%, avg EWP = 55%, variance = 11%, luck = -0.2 wins
Rednecks continue to hover right above average in all facets of their game.  But I expect this to be their nadir after trading Brady away.

7. CAPO (down 1)
median EWP = 50%, avg EWP = 50%, variance = 27%, luck = +0.0 wins
CAPO and Ramjets have been wildly inconsistent over the last 4 games.  There are teams with higher variance scores, but mostly due to 1 big outlier while CAPO seems capable of any score on any weekend -- both good and bad.

8. Beavers (up 1)
median EWP = 47%, avg EWP = 42%, variance = 19%, luck = +0.8 wins
Beavers' last two games have been better then their 2 previous, but we're talking about the difference between above average and below average scores.

9. Ramjets (down 1)
median EWP = 44%, avg EWP = 44%, variance = 34%, luck = -0.3 wins
The offense is vacillating back and forth between average and bad.  This week the defense fell apart as well.  Ramjets could easily fall back into the bottom grouping here in the rankings unless the defense rebounds of the offense stabilizes somewhere above bad.

Small, Barky Dogs
10. Flannel (up 1)
median EWP = 24%, avg EWP = 26%, variance = 12%, luck = +0.5 wins
After a wild first couple weeks, Flannel have settled in as a below average team.  Although the offense has shown flashes, the defense can be down right terrible... like this week.

11. Hamburglers (up 1)
median EWP = 21%, avg EWP = 21%, variance = 9%, luck = +1.2 wins
The luckiest team in FLOF over the last games, Hamburglers are a step below Flannel in the rankings because of the offense has not shown as much potential.

12. Bill (down 2)
median EWP = 19%, avg EWP = 18%, variance = 14%, luck = -0.7 wins
This team has collapsed over the last 4 weeks, especially on defense where their mean score has been 13 points.