2 Weeks Left
Malleus, 9-3, current division leader, 1 seed
Also guaranteed a wild card spot, Malleus can clinch the division title with a win or loss by Old No. 7. Malleus would also become the first 10 win team in FLOF since 2004 -- before expansion to 12 teams.
Malleus are heavily favored by EWP in their last 2 games.
Mimes, 8-3-1, current division leader, 2 seed
Guaranteed at least a wild card spot, Mimes are fighting to retain the division title and first round bye that would go with it. But Lagers are only 1/2 game back so Mimes need a win and Lagers loss this weekend to clinch the title.
Mimes are mildly favored against Drow this weekend and heavily favored for their last game by EWP.
CAPO, 5-6-1, current division leader, 3 seed
CAPO still need a win to clinch the division title or loses from Ramjets and Hamburglers. CAPO will be the 3 seed or they will be home watching as they have no chance to be a wild card.
CAPO are big underdogs this weekend against Malleus and mild underdogs next week against Ramjets which would result in CAPO missing the playoffs.
Lagers, 8-4, current wild card, 4 seed
Still only a half game behind Mimes for the division, Lagers would need help as they do not play Mimes again this year. However, Lagers have already clinched a wild card spot -- but it could be any of those wild card spots.
Lagers are big favorites this weekend but are essentially even against Drow in week 14.
Old No.7 7-4-1, current wild card, 5 seed
If Old No. 7 win and Malleus lose this upcoming weekend, it would set up a winner takes the division match-up the last week of the season. If Old No. 7 wins this weekend or Rednecks and Beavers lose, the worst they could do is a wild card.
Old No. 7 are mild favorites this weekend and big underdogs against Malleus week 14.
Drow 6-5-1, current wild card, 6 seed
Drow control their own destiny but have a tough road ahead against two of the best teams in the league. If Drow win out and both Mimes and Lagers lose their last 2, Drow would win the division. If Drow win out but either Mimes or Lagers win a game from here on, Drow would be one of the wild cards. If Drow win one more and Rednecks lose one more the rest of the way, Drow are in. If Drow lose their last 2 they can still get in if Rednecks fail to win any of their last 2 and Beavers split their last 2.
Drow are mild underdogs this weekend against Mimes and essentially even against Lagers to end the season.
Rednecks 6-6
Now officially eliminated from contention for the division, Rednecks focus on their path to the wild card. The easiest way in is to leapfrog Drow by winning one more game over their last 2 and keep Beavers behind by winning as many or more then Beavers. Rednecks could also catch Old No. 7 with 2 wins and 2 loses from the whiskey bottle.
Rednecks are big favorites against the two worst teams in the league to close the season which makes them EWP's favorite to be the last wild card.
Beavers 5-6-1
Now out of the running for the division title, Beavers remain only 1 game out of a wild card spot. Their best bet would be to win 2, have Drow lose 2, and have Rednecks lose 2 or lose 1 and tie 1. Beavers generally must leapfrog Drow and not tie them as they lost 2 to Drow earlier. They beat Rednecks and could beat them in a tie. Beavers could end up tied with Old No. 7 for the final wild card spot but that would get tricky. If Drow were the 5th seed, Old No. 7 would win that tie-breaker. If Rednecks were the 5 seed, it could come down to Power rankings.
Beavers are big underdogs as they end the season against Lagers and Mimes.
Ramjets 4-7-1
Ramjets have 2 slim chances to get into the playoffs. Most obviously, they can win the Right Division with 2 wins and 2 CAPO losses. CAPO holds all the tie-breakers needed, so Ramjets must leap-frog CAPO, not tie them. However, Ramjets hold a tie-breaker edge over current last wild card Drow and could end the season tied with them if Drow lose 2, Ramjets win 2 plus Rednecks lose 2 and Beavers lose 2. If Drow, Ramjets, and Beavers all end up tied Drow would move on.
Ramjets are a big favorite this weekend over Bill and would be a mild favorite over CAPO to close the season and potentially win the division.
Hamburglers 4-8
No chance for a wild card, but they have a slim hope for the division. If Ramjets and CAPO lose this upcoming weekend, then Ramjets beat CAPO in 2 weeks and Hamburglers win out, they will end up 1/2 game ahead of both Ramjets and CAPO.
Hamburglers are big underdogs this weekend but only mild underdogs against Flannel to close out the season.
Flannel 3-8-1
Flannel are eliminated form all playoff contention with their loss. The best they could do is tie CAPO or CAPO and Ramjets but would lose all tie-breakers. They are 3 games behind the last wild card spot.
Bill's Team 3-8-1
Bill is also out of all playoff hopes as they fall to 3 games behind the last wild card spot.
Predictions:
IF (big, huge if) EWP correctly predicts the last 2 weeks of the season, this is how it will look at the end:
1. Malleus, 11-3
2. Mimes, 10-3-1
3. Ramjets, 6-7-1
4. Lagers, 9-5
5. Old No. 7, 8-5-1
6. Rednecks, 8-6
7. Drow, 7-6-1
8. Beavers, 5-8-1
9. CAPO, 5-8-1
10. Flannel, 4-9-1
11. Hamburglers, 4-10
12. Bill, 3-10-1
Byes: Malleus, Mimes
Rednecks @ Ramjets
Old No. 7 @ Lagers
Also guaranteed a wild card spot, Malleus can clinch the division title with a win or loss by Old No. 7. Malleus would also become the first 10 win team in FLOF since 2004 -- before expansion to 12 teams.
Malleus are heavily favored by EWP in their last 2 games.
Mimes, 8-3-1, current division leader, 2 seed
Guaranteed at least a wild card spot, Mimes are fighting to retain the division title and first round bye that would go with it. But Lagers are only 1/2 game back so Mimes need a win and Lagers loss this weekend to clinch the title.
Mimes are mildly favored against Drow this weekend and heavily favored for their last game by EWP.
CAPO, 5-6-1, current division leader, 3 seed
CAPO still need a win to clinch the division title or loses from Ramjets and Hamburglers. CAPO will be the 3 seed or they will be home watching as they have no chance to be a wild card.
CAPO are big underdogs this weekend against Malleus and mild underdogs next week against Ramjets which would result in CAPO missing the playoffs.
Lagers, 8-4, current wild card, 4 seed
Still only a half game behind Mimes for the division, Lagers would need help as they do not play Mimes again this year. However, Lagers have already clinched a wild card spot -- but it could be any of those wild card spots.
Lagers are big favorites this weekend but are essentially even against Drow in week 14.
Old No.7 7-4-1, current wild card, 5 seed
If Old No. 7 win and Malleus lose this upcoming weekend, it would set up a winner takes the division match-up the last week of the season. If Old No. 7 wins this weekend or Rednecks and Beavers lose, the worst they could do is a wild card.
Old No. 7 are mild favorites this weekend and big underdogs against Malleus week 14.
Drow 6-5-1, current wild card, 6 seed
Drow control their own destiny but have a tough road ahead against two of the best teams in the league. If Drow win out and both Mimes and Lagers lose their last 2, Drow would win the division. If Drow win out but either Mimes or Lagers win a game from here on, Drow would be one of the wild cards. If Drow win one more and Rednecks lose one more the rest of the way, Drow are in. If Drow lose their last 2 they can still get in if Rednecks fail to win any of their last 2 and Beavers split their last 2.
Drow are mild underdogs this weekend against Mimes and essentially even against Lagers to end the season.
Rednecks 6-6
Now officially eliminated from contention for the division, Rednecks focus on their path to the wild card. The easiest way in is to leapfrog Drow by winning one more game over their last 2 and keep Beavers behind by winning as many or more then Beavers. Rednecks could also catch Old No. 7 with 2 wins and 2 loses from the whiskey bottle.
Rednecks are big favorites against the two worst teams in the league to close the season which makes them EWP's favorite to be the last wild card.
Beavers 5-6-1
Now out of the running for the division title, Beavers remain only 1 game out of a wild card spot. Their best bet would be to win 2, have Drow lose 2, and have Rednecks lose 2 or lose 1 and tie 1. Beavers generally must leapfrog Drow and not tie them as they lost 2 to Drow earlier. They beat Rednecks and could beat them in a tie. Beavers could end up tied with Old No. 7 for the final wild card spot but that would get tricky. If Drow were the 5th seed, Old No. 7 would win that tie-breaker. If Rednecks were the 5 seed, it could come down to Power rankings.
Beavers are big underdogs as they end the season against Lagers and Mimes.
Ramjets 4-7-1
Ramjets have 2 slim chances to get into the playoffs. Most obviously, they can win the Right Division with 2 wins and 2 CAPO losses. CAPO holds all the tie-breakers needed, so Ramjets must leap-frog CAPO, not tie them. However, Ramjets hold a tie-breaker edge over current last wild card Drow and could end the season tied with them if Drow lose 2, Ramjets win 2 plus Rednecks lose 2 and Beavers lose 2. If Drow, Ramjets, and Beavers all end up tied Drow would move on.
Ramjets are a big favorite this weekend over Bill and would be a mild favorite over CAPO to close the season and potentially win the division.
Hamburglers 4-8
No chance for a wild card, but they have a slim hope for the division. If Ramjets and CAPO lose this upcoming weekend, then Ramjets beat CAPO in 2 weeks and Hamburglers win out, they will end up 1/2 game ahead of both Ramjets and CAPO.
Hamburglers are big underdogs this weekend but only mild underdogs against Flannel to close out the season.
Flannel 3-8-1
Flannel are eliminated form all playoff contention with their loss. The best they could do is tie CAPO or CAPO and Ramjets but would lose all tie-breakers. They are 3 games behind the last wild card spot.
Bill's Team 3-8-1
Bill is also out of all playoff hopes as they fall to 3 games behind the last wild card spot.
Predictions:
IF (big, huge if) EWP correctly predicts the last 2 weeks of the season, this is how it will look at the end:
1. Malleus, 11-3
2. Mimes, 10-3-1
3. Ramjets, 6-7-1
4. Lagers, 9-5
5. Old No. 7, 8-5-1
6. Rednecks, 8-6
7. Drow, 7-6-1
8. Beavers, 5-8-1
9. CAPO, 5-8-1
10. Flannel, 4-9-1
11. Hamburglers, 4-10
12. Bill, 3-10-1
Byes: Malleus, Mimes
Rednecks @ Ramjets
Old No. 7 @ Lagers
Labels: 2010
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