Week 11 Update

Everyone in the Left beat everyone in the Right, so not much changed for those teams.  In the Middle Division, Malleus' offense helped it avoid a 0-0 tie with Rednecks and get Haydn just that bit closer to a Division title.  Old No. 7 thumped Bill and leap-frogged Rednecks in the standings, but still 2 games behind Malleus.

Here's the current playoff situation with 3 game to go, plus updated predictions.


1. Malleus 8-3, division leader, #1 seed
Now assured of a winning record and probably assured a playoff spot... but I don't have time to work that out for sure.  A win and loses by Old No.7 and Rednecks would give Malleus the division title.
Prediction: 10-4, division winner, #1 seed

2. Mimes 7-3-1, division leader, #2 seed
Assured of a winning record as well, but assured of nothing else after that.  Beavers are only 2 games behind them and are the 4th team in the division.  Have a relatively easy game this week before 2 straight in-division to close out the year.
Prediction: 9-4-1, division winner, #2 seed

3. CAPO 5-5-1, division leader, #3 seed
Retain their 2-game lead on Flannel and Ramjets.  A win plus Flannel defeat of Ramjets would clinch the title for CAPO.  Ramjets are a much bigger problem for CAPO given their head-to-head.
Prediction: 6-6-2, division winner, #3 seed

4. Lagers 7-4, wild card, #4 seed
Lagers are only 1/2 game behind Mimes but will need help to pass them as they are done playing for the year.    They will also need to keep winning to stay a wild card with Rednecks and Beavers still hunting for wild card spots.
Prediction: 9-5, wild card, #4 seed

5. Old No. 7 6-4-1, wild card, #5 seed
If they can pick up a game on Malleus over the next 2 weeks, they could play for the Division in a season finale match-up.  If they lose too many between now and then they could be playing just to stay in a wild card spot.
Prediction: 7-5-2, wild card, #5 seed (assumes 3-way tie with Rednecks)

6. Drow 6-4-1, wild card #6 seed
Hold their fate in their own hands with 3 consecutive games against Old No. 7, Lagers, then Mimes.  They probably need to win more of those then they lose to stay a wild card but their chances for a division win is hampered by previous loses to Lagers and Mimes.
Prediction: 7-5-2, wild card, #6 seed (assumes victory over Old No. 7)

7. Rednecks 6-5, 1/2 game out of wild card
Easily the biggest threat to poach a wild card from one of the teams above them, especially Old No. 7 or Drow.  But they only have 1 game against another wild card contender and bad tie-breakers so they will need the teams above them to stumble.
Prediction: 8-6, out by tie-breaker

8. Beavers 5-5-1, 1 game out of wild card
Beavers still have a shot at the Division title and are in the thick of the wild card fight but have a crazy hard schedule against the top 3 records in FLOF.
Prediction: 6-7-1, 1.5 games out of wild card

9. Flannel 3-7-1, 2.5 games behind CAPO
I suspect Flannel have no chance to get a wild card spot, but they could still win the division if CAPO lose out and Flannel win out.  They can't afford a tie with CAPO as they lost both meetings between them.
Prediction: 4-8-2, 2 games behind CAPO

10. Ramjets, 3-7-1, 2.5 games behind CAPO
Have already lost to both CAPO and Flannel earlier this year, but get to try again starting this week with Flannel.  That said, they also need CAPO to lose at least 2 of their last 3 for any playoff hopes.
Prediction: 4-8-2, 2 games behind CAPO

11. Bill, 3-7-1, 3 games out of wild card
Already eliminated from contention in their division, Bill has only the slimmest hopes for a wild card spot... mostly cause I don't have time to prove they do not have hopes.
Prediction: 4-9-1, toilet bowl visitor

12. Hamburglers 3-8, 3 games behind CAPO
Eliminated from wild card contention, Hamburglers may not have any chance at the division either but I can't figure it out quickly.  A loss this week against CAPO will put Hamburglers out of their misery.
Prediction: 4-9-1, toilet bowl host (due to win over Bill)