Week 10 Rankings

We're 3/4 of the way through the season and I feel like we still have most of a season left to play.  With 4 games left, everyone will play 2 division games and 2 games outside their division.  Everyone is mathematically still in the hunt for a playoff spot and no one has clinched even a playoff appearance yet.  For the rankings, I currently see 3 big strata of teams...

Sky-high

1. Mimes (no change)

medEWP = 89%, avgEWP = 88%, variance = 8%

The worst offensive game Mimes have had over the last 4 games?  60 pts.  The defense is also doing pretty darn well -- toping 30 pts twice.  The big difference between the Mimes and everyone else is that they seem incapable of scoring badly.

2. Drow (no change)

medEWP = 86%, avgEWP = 69%, variance = 39%

The offense has scored 60 or more in 3 of their last 4.  The defense has also played well, pretty much on par with Mimes' despite its fail last week.

3. Malleus (no change)

medEWP = 80%, avgEWP = 68%, variance = 35%

Malleus bounced back from their generalized collapse last week.  The defense got back to the league median while the offense scored 70 for the first time since week 3.

4. Lagers (up 1)

medEWP = 82%, avgEWP = 66%, variance = 38%

As many expected, Old No. 7 fell away and Lagers have rejoined the elite.  They have perhaps the 2nd best offense in FLOF over the last 4 games and scored 101 pts this week.

Ground Level

5. CAPO (up 2)

medEWP = 62%, avgEWP = 57%, variance = 32%

CAPO proved last weekend that they can still score with anyone.  However, they've also proven that they can not do it consistently having scored less then 70 the 2 weeks prior to this weekend's 93.

6. Rednecks (no change)

medEWP = 61%, avgEWP = 58%, variance = 9%

Rednecks retain the best offense outside the top tier -- good enough to be a consistent week-to-week threat but rarely good enough to trounce anyone.  That said, only Mimes' have a higher worst score over the last 4 weeks.

7. Old No. 7 (down 3)

medEWP = 59%, avgEWP = 50%, variance = 33%

The defense was lights out from weeks 4 to 9 and that masked an offense that hasn't scored 50 pts since week 3.  But the offense hasn't even scored 40 in their last 3 games and this last weekend the defense collapsed.

8. Beavers (no change)

medEWP = 49%, avgEWP = 50%, variance = 6%

Beavers have been the consistently average team in FLOF over the last 4 games -- even more so then Rednecks.  Unfortunately they have been a tick worse then Rednecks, particularly on offense.

Subterranean

9. Ramjets (no change)

medEWP = 29%, avgEWP = 33%, variance = 23%

The offense has been the problem all year for Ramjets.  The defense has been about average over the last 4 games, but the offense scored 50 pts this weekend for only the second time all year.

10. Hamburglers (up 1)

medEWP = 27%, avgEWP = 29%, variance = 10%

A league average offense has kept Hamburglers from completely tanking too many games this year but the defense has been worse then all but the 2 teams below them in these rankings over the last 4 games.

11. Flannel (down 1)

medEWP = 24%, avgEWP = 22%, variance = 5%

Flannel's last two games have been almost exactly the same: 50-51 offensive points and 8 defensive points.  The offense has actually been pretty good over their last 4 games but the defense has undermined the team by scoring 8 points in 3 of their last 4 outings.

12. Bill (no change)

medEWP = 9%, avgEWP = 12%, variance = 13%

Bill has scored less then 50 points in 3 of their last 4 games.  49 points has an expected win percentage of 11%.  The offense and defense have been almost equally bad.