Week 7 Rankings
Apparently, Friday is when I get this out these days.
Camp Adventure was the big faller this week. After steady improvement over their first 5 weeks, they have fallen off rather dramatically the last two weeks which resulted this week in a loss of 168 points from their Expected Win Percentage and 3 spots in the rankings. Malleus was the big gainer which was mostly the result of their poor week 3 result falling off the ranking's radar and saw their EWP bump up 122 points and gain them 2 spots in the rankings.
The median score after 7 weeks is 99 points. Medians from the previous 5 years: 70, 73, 72, 72, 71. Offensive median is 62 points (past medians: 43, 48, 48, 48, 45). Defensive median is 33 (past medians: 24, 25, 25, 25, 23). Teams are playing 2 RBs 60% of the time and 3 WRs 40% of the time but neither option seems obviously invalid. The median points for 3 WR offenses is 64.5 compared to 62 for everyone. But clearly there a lot of other variables in here.
At the halfway point, last year's FLOF Bowl participants are dominant forces again. Both had a dip in week 3 but otherwise have scored no fewer than 107 total points, are the league's only two 5 win teams, and are predicted to finish 10-4 with first round byes. Drow have the #1 seed in the predictions only because they are currently given a 53% chance to beat Dynasty at home in their week 13 meeting which would be the tie-breaker. Rednecks complete what has been a troika of great teams so far this season. Rednecks have not had the falter that Drow and Dynasty have but lately have been mostly good instead of excellent.
Lagers and Malleus both had a week 3 to forget but otherwise have been above average more often than not this year. Camp Adventure, Wolfpack, and Old No. 7 have flashed above average play more than once this year but not consistently. Bronie and Bill looked like they could be contenders in week 2, but neither have been above average since. Although Bill continues to luck his way into wins. Mimes have only scored near average once this year and only twice scored more than 66 points. Mimes' second best week in the first half (74 points) was worse than every other teams' second worst week. OK, Bronies' second worst week was exactly 74 points.
Predictions for week 8
The computer was 3-3 again last week.
Mimes @ Drow 90%
Old No 7 @ Camp Adventure 62%
Dynasty 61% @ Malleus
Bill @ Bronies 53%
Hamburglers 53% @ Wolfpack
Rednecks 51% @ Lagers
Camp Adventure was the big faller this week. After steady improvement over their first 5 weeks, they have fallen off rather dramatically the last two weeks which resulted this week in a loss of 168 points from their Expected Win Percentage and 3 spots in the rankings. Malleus was the big gainer which was mostly the result of their poor week 3 result falling off the ranking's radar and saw their EWP bump up 122 points and gain them 2 spots in the rankings.
The median score after 7 weeks is 99 points. Medians from the previous 5 years: 70, 73, 72, 72, 71. Offensive median is 62 points (past medians: 43, 48, 48, 48, 45). Defensive median is 33 (past medians: 24, 25, 25, 25, 23). Teams are playing 2 RBs 60% of the time and 3 WRs 40% of the time but neither option seems obviously invalid. The median points for 3 WR offenses is 64.5 compared to 62 for everyone. But clearly there a lot of other variables in here.
At the halfway point, last year's FLOF Bowl participants are dominant forces again. Both had a dip in week 3 but otherwise have scored no fewer than 107 total points, are the league's only two 5 win teams, and are predicted to finish 10-4 with first round byes. Drow have the #1 seed in the predictions only because they are currently given a 53% chance to beat Dynasty at home in their week 13 meeting which would be the tie-breaker. Rednecks complete what has been a troika of great teams so far this season. Rednecks have not had the falter that Drow and Dynasty have but lately have been mostly good instead of excellent.
Lagers and Malleus both had a week 3 to forget but otherwise have been above average more often than not this year. Camp Adventure, Wolfpack, and Old No. 7 have flashed above average play more than once this year but not consistently. Bronie and Bill looked like they could be contenders in week 2, but neither have been above average since. Although Bill continues to luck his way into wins. Mimes have only scored near average once this year and only twice scored more than 66 points. Mimes' second best week in the first half (74 points) was worse than every other teams' second worst week. OK, Bronies' second worst week was exactly 74 points.
Predictions for week 8
The computer was 3-3 again last week.
Mimes @ Drow 90%
Old No 7 @ Camp Adventure 62%
Dynasty 61% @ Malleus
Bill @ Bronies 53%
Hamburglers 53% @ Wolfpack
Rednecks 51% @ Lagers
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]
<< Home