Draft Lottery

The draft lottery has been changed.

Previously, the bottom 6 teams--those who did not make the playoffs last year--all had an equal chance to the top spot in the upcoming draft.  We've now weighted the lottery so that teams with worse records the previous year have a better chance to pick sooner than those teams that just missed the playoffs.

The team with the worst record the prior year now has 6 chances for that top pick, the second worst record has 5, and so on with the best record to miss the playoffs having only 1 chance to make the playoffs.

If you are dying to know exactly how this changes the odds...



The previous system gave every team a 17% chance at the top pick in the draft.  Under the new system, the odds obviously vary.  The worst team coming out of the previous year now has a 29% chance to get the top spot, 12% better then before.  All new odds and change from before below:

worst record	29%	up 12%
	24%	up 7%
	19%	up 2%
	14%	down 2%
	10%	down 7%
best record	5%	down 12%

Of course the odds change again for every subsequent pick selected as someone will leave with their chances, but thats for someone else to worry about.