Week 13: Playoff Scenarios
Lets skip right to the good stuff.
I am assuming that Drow and Malleus win their games (which seems pretty safe).
Right Division:
Middle Division:
Left Division:
It does not appear to me that Bill or Drow can miss the playoffs. That said, since every one of the seven teams still in the running for the six playoff spots is within 1 game of each other, I could have missed something. One interesting scenario is that all seven teams could end the season 4 games over .500 (see below).
The three teams in most obvious jeopardy of missing the playoffs are the three 8-5 teams: Beavers, Mimes, and Malleus. Mimes are in the worst situation of those three, if Mimes lose they are going to be out of the playoffs regardless of anything else (lost to Malleus earlier, split with Beavers but would have a worse record against other playoff teams). If Beavers and Malleus lose and Mimes win, Malleus will go home (Beavers beat Malleus earlier this year). Obviously if only one of them lose, that one will miss the playoffs.
If all three of the 8-5 teams win, then the loser of the Capo-Flannel match-up will be the team to miss the playoffs -- no tie-breakers required.
If everyone ends up 4 games over .500 Mimes lose the 4-way head-to-head (1-3) against Bil (2-1), Capo (2-1), and Drow (2-2).
Any way this ends, the team missing the playoffs this year will have the best record of any team to ever miss the playoffs in FLOF's 12 years. The only two other teams to have a winning record and miss the FLOF playoffs were the 7-6 Rednecks in 2001 and the 7-6 Grinch in 1999.
Toilet Bowl:
Brawlers have clinched a spot in the Toilet Bowl. They can host the game with a win and Hamburglers loss. Hamburglers can escape the Toilet Bowl with a win and Buffalo loss since they beat Buffalo earlier this year. Ramjets and Old No. 7 escaped the Toilet Bowl this week with their win and tie respectively.
I am assuming that Drow and Malleus win their games (which seems pretty safe).
Right Division:
- Flannel (8-4-1): Beat Capo earlier in the season so either a win or tie against Capo in the final game will give them the division.
- Capo (8-4-1): Need to beat Flannel in the final game to win the division.
Middle Division:
- Bill (9-4): They fail to clinch the division this week and now must win or tie against Malleus in the season finale to win the division.
- Malleus (8-5): They beat Bill earlier in the year so a win against them in the final game will give them the division.
Left Division:
- Drow (9-4): A win or tie against Mimes gives them the division. A loss means someone else will win the division.
- Beavers (8-5): If Drow lose and Beavers beat Brawlers, they will emerge from the 3-way tie with the division based on a combined 3-1 record against Mimes (2-2) and Drow (1-3).
- Mimes (8-5): Need to beat Drow and have Beavers either lose or tie. Then their 4-3 division record will give them the division over Drow (2-4).
It does not appear to me that Bill or Drow can miss the playoffs. That said, since every one of the seven teams still in the running for the six playoff spots is within 1 game of each other, I could have missed something. One interesting scenario is that all seven teams could end the season 4 games over .500 (see below).
The three teams in most obvious jeopardy of missing the playoffs are the three 8-5 teams: Beavers, Mimes, and Malleus. Mimes are in the worst situation of those three, if Mimes lose they are going to be out of the playoffs regardless of anything else (lost to Malleus earlier, split with Beavers but would have a worse record against other playoff teams). If Beavers and Malleus lose and Mimes win, Malleus will go home (Beavers beat Malleus earlier this year). Obviously if only one of them lose, that one will miss the playoffs.
If all three of the 8-5 teams win, then the loser of the Capo-Flannel match-up will be the team to miss the playoffs -- no tie-breakers required.
If everyone ends up 4 games over .500 Mimes lose the 4-way head-to-head (1-3) against Bil (2-1), Capo (2-1), and Drow (2-2).
Any way this ends, the team missing the playoffs this year will have the best record of any team to ever miss the playoffs in FLOF's 12 years. The only two other teams to have a winning record and miss the FLOF playoffs were the 7-6 Rednecks in 2001 and the 7-6 Grinch in 1999.
Toilet Bowl:
Brawlers have clinched a spot in the Toilet Bowl. They can host the game with a win and Hamburglers loss. Hamburglers can escape the Toilet Bowl with a win and Buffalo loss since they beat Buffalo earlier this year. Ramjets and Old No. 7 escaped the Toilet Bowl this week with their win and tie respectively.
Labels: 2008
4 Comments:
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Though the disparity between good teams and mediocre teams is pretty large, the palyoffs this year should be WIDE open. I expect some VERY exciting playoff games. Anybody who gets in had a reasonable chance to win it all, and I don't think anybody could be considered a prohibitive favorite.
And on another note, for all the 8 victory teams, it seems to boil down to a win and you're in scenario. If you lose, you're gonna need other teams to lose to.
What Steve said is true, I think this is anyone's FLOF bowl, every team that is making the playoffs, and the one team that doesn't, have all had some really good games and is capable of beating anyone else. I just hope I'm not that team.
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